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From StepForth Search Engine Placement Inc.
Wednesday, January 7th, 2004
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| Highlights
of the Week: Winners and Losers of 2003 - Who's
Hot in 2004? |
| 2003 was a watershed year in the search
engine industry. Not only was it the year of mergers and acquisitions,
it was also the year that the media, business and financial
sectors really took notice. It was a very busy year for the
SEO sector as well, perhaps marking the maturity of the optimization
industry. With so much action and so many changes, one almost
required a scorecard to keep up. By the end of 2003 the search
world looked remarkably different than it did at the beginning.
Some firms were big winners while others were huge losers.
Here's our list to kick off the new year.
WINNERS
#1) Yahoo! Yahoo! was the clear winner of
the search engine war last year. Yahoo spent most of the first
quarter of 2003 purchasing several of the biggest names in
search. The biggest and brightest move made by Yahoo was the
acquisition of Overture, shortly after Overture had bought
AltaVista and AlltheWeb. Yahoo also bought Inktomi, the largest
paid-inclusion database on the web. Yahoo! now controls (if combined) the
largest search database, two of the most innovative search
tools and the second largest paid-placement and contextual
advertising firm. Along with one of the most recognized brand
names on the Internet, these new facets of Yahoo!'s business
place them in the same position as Google when it comes to
presenting search results independent of other search firms.
Yahoo! will be dropping listings from LookSmart as of January
15th, and is likely to drop listings from Google shortly thereafter. #2) Google was the undisputed champion
of search engines last year. Driving over 77% of all search
traffic in one way or another helped place them there but
their real power came from the near cultish popularity of
their brand. The name "Google" became firmly synonymous
with search in 2003. Google blazed several paths in 2002-2003
from the introduction of Google News in late 2002 to their
online catalog search tool, Froogle. In 2003, Google also
introduced their strong paid-advertising programs, AdWords
and AdSense. These two programs revitalized the search market
and are likely Google's greatest strengths going into their
widely expected IPO. Google's reputation has been building
over their five year existence as the "clean" search
tool, winning the trust of search engine users around the
world. In November, Google took a huge risk in re-tooling
their search ranking algorithm. Named the Florida Update,
the re-tooling might prove to be Google's biggest misstep
in it's history but, it might have also been the wisest (despite the thoughtless timing). Since
November, the search returns offered by Google have been,
for the most part, abysmal. They are getting better though
as we have seen a general reduction in SPAM in the listings
over the past week and have also seen good sites get rewarded
with good listings recently.
#3) MSN is ranking number three today
mostly due to the hype they managed to build around their
new search engine and the release of the new operating system
Longhorn. While both are scheduled to make their appearances
in 2005, Microsoft managed to make their main competitors
jump through hoops
in 2003. The threat of MSN's new search tool forced Google
to make upgrades to its algorithm and Yahoo! to develop its
own in house search solutions.
#4) Inktomi is not a search engine
but it does have the largest search database in the world.
Now owned by Yahoo!, many think Inktomi's database will be
replacing Google as the major distributor of search listings
on the Internet. Inktomi currently powers HotBot, MSN, Excite
and Overture (for areas without paid listings).
LOSERS #1) LookSmart is facing deep troubles
this year. Dropped by MSN, Sprinks and Yahoo! as the provider
of paid-inclusion listings, LookSmart enters 2004 with significantly
reduced revenue sources. Their stock price has plummeted and
senior management is jumping ship. LookSmart started 2003
behind an eight-ball of their own creating when in late 2002
they changed their pricing structure overnight without warning,
angering webmasters and advertisers. They were never able
to fully recover this market or the goodwill of the webmaster/SEO
community.
#2) Pity the poor souls
working at Netscape. Battered by Microsoft, bought by AOL,
and almost totally neglected by TimeWarner (AOL's owners),
Netscape continued to roll along through 2003 until the day
AOL announced a deal with MSN to provide search results to
AOL customers. Netscape seems to have been put out to pasture
and lost its R&D arm. Netscape will always find a soft-spot
in long-term Internet user's hearts but it very rarely comes
to mind and may not be around this time next year.
#3) AltaVista is the oldest surviving
search tool and continues to provide extremely solid, relevant
results. Its problem is that it is owned by Yahoo! and does
not have the brand-name appeal to keep it going as a business
entity. Industry rumour has Yahoo! shutting the doors at AltaVista
in the coming months. (Please note, this is just rumour)
Those to Watch in 2004
Google (IPO), Yahoo! (in house search tool), MSN (in house
search tool), TEOMA (innovation), Vivisimo (lots of great
media coverage towards end of 2003). |
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Important ©Copyright Note: viewers are welcome to post the content from StepForth Weekly newsletters
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Major
Player Update: Yahoo!'s New Directions ::
End of Free Listings? :: Best Florida Update Analysis Yet - From
Atul Gupta |
YAHOO!'S NEW DIRECTIONS
Yahoo! CEO Terry Semel
had a lot to celebrate this new year and he appears to be
happy to talk about it. On Monday, at the Smith Barney Citigroup
Entertainment, Media and Telecommunications Conference in
Phoenix, Semel spoke of the new directions he anticipates
Yahoo! taking in 2004. The biggest change for Yahoo! will
be a switch in where search results are drawn from. Currently,
Yahoo! receives results from Google. Sometime this year Yahoo!
will (99% likely) begin drawing results from their in house
search database, Inktomi. Semel also noted Yahoo!'s rapid
growth over the past two years with the introduction of paid
services such as Yahoo! shopping sites and music distribution.
Yahoo! now boasts over 5Million paying users, up from zero
two years ago. A large portion of these paying users come
from the partnership between Yahoo! and SBC Communications
to bundle Yahoo content into SBC’s DSL subscriptions.
Yahoo! is currently the front runner in the search engine
business war and has been brilliantly placed to take advantage
of the emerging trends of contextual advertising and the rapid
growth of e-commerce. |
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END OF FREE LISTINGS?
With Yahoo!'s pending switch from Google
(free-listings) to Inktomi (paid-inclusion), website owners
with high Google rankings will see the number of visits to their
sites drop dramatically as Yahoo! drives about 30 - 35% of all
search traffic. Inktomi is also the primary supplier of results
for MSN, the third largest search tool. We are predicting that
the bulk of search traffic will come from the Inktomi database,
starting sometime around March or April. This likely spells
the demise of free-inclusion as Inktomi's popularity will increase
and Google will need to plug a sudden and likely massive revenue
hole. While Google has traditionally spurned paid-inclusion,
Yahoo!'s adoption of Inktomi results and the pressures stemming
from going public through the anticipated IPO might move Google's
management towards the paid-inclusion spectrum. |
BEST FLORIDA UPDATE YET - from Atul Gupta
Link building is about to become a lot more important, and a
lot more difficult if the current reigning theory/analysis of
Google's new algorithm is correct. Earlier this week, the CEO
of India based SEORANK, Atul Gupta, published a brilliant
analysis of Google's new algorithm. We are experimenting
with some of his findings but, for the most part, we think Gupta's
analysis is very accurate. To make a long analysis short, the
article basically states that Google is now using two unique
algorithms to measure the relevancy of incoming links to a website.
Gupta theorizes that Google is just now introducing an algorithm
known as Hilltop
which appears to be blended with the Florida algorithm. The
new algo measures incoming links in a very different way than
the older PageRank algorithm did. |
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| In the Client Spotlight
this Week: Admiral Inn - Victoria BC |
The Admiral Inn, located in beautiful Victoria BC
provides quality hotel accommodations with genuine hospitality.
Located on the Inner Harbour, near the ferry and downtown, the Admiral
Inn is one of the top rated places to stay while in Victoria. Along
with their world-renown hospitality, the management and staff of
the Admiral Inn are able to provide information about Victoria and
Vancouver Island and arrange any tour or activity guests might desire.
When in Victoria, check out the Admiral Inn at 257 Belleville St.
and visit their website at www.admiral.bc.ca
|
| Weekly
Quick Tip: Grokker Provides Insight into the
Future of Search |
We all know just how sadly irrelevant
the results can be at Google. The reason for this is that
Google has difficulty distinguishing the intended relevance
of a search. As a result, search results often include results
from web sites that may only include the words searched without
actually proving relevant to your needs.
The best example of this that I have seen was provided by
the Associated Press at Canada.com:
"Let's say, for example, you're curious about accommodations
in France and enter a search for 'Paris Hilton.' "Google
recognizes this as a search in the category of "Regional-Europe-Travel
and Tourism-Lodging-Hotels" but still produces page after
page with links about celebrity socialite Paris Hilton and
her exploits. That's because Google's engine ranks pages largely
based on how many other sites link to them, sending the most
popular pages to the top."
This is a rather annoying feature of Google's and one which
I have no doubt is a source of constant headaches amongst
the Google Staff. Now enter Grokker, a software search solution
that combines the search results from six search engines (Yahoo!,
MSN, AltaVista, Wisenut, Teoma and FAST) into a set of highly
relevant graphical results. To continue the example from above:
"If you run the search on Grokker, however, the
resulting circle shows all the possible categories of information
the Internet offers on a search for "Paris Hilton"
- including reviews, maps and on-line booking sites for the
Hilton hotel in Paris, which are all but buried in the Google
rankings. Now you've much more quickly found not what is popular
among Internet gawkers, but what is genuinely useful to you."
In January 2004, Groxis will be adding a plug-in for Grokker
customers to add Google's 3 billion page database as a search
option. The plug-in will allow up to 1000 free Google searches
per day. This cooperative agreement between Google and Groxis
is largely a market test. When asked, Google's spokesman Nathan
Tyler declined to comment on the Grokker technology. Is Google
working on a similar technology for its own search engine?
Who knows... Nathan Tyler certainly would not say.
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| The Net Reality: Bill
Gates Foundation Donates Millions to University of Manitoba |
With a personal fortune that exceeds the treasuries of many nation
states, Bill Gates is one of the richest people on the planet.
He is also known as one of the most generous philanthropists as
he proved again yesterday with a $21.8 million (CDN) donation
to further AIDS research at the University of Manitoba in Winnipeg.
The university will use the money to expand its pioneering work
on AIDS prevention in Kenya and India. The Bill and Milinda Gates
Foundation has released over $6Billion on international health
and education projects in the past five years. The foundation
announced an additional $200Million to fight AIDS in the autumn
of 2003. Regardless of what anyone says about Microsoft or Bill
Gates, the Bill and Milinda Gates Foundation has done more for
the cause of International AIDS research than most governments,
including the US Government.
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